Mindy Romero, director of the California Civic Engagement Project at UC Davis, said Latino turnout has typically been lower in midterm primaries. He’s been aided by a wave of ads paid for by an independent group bankrolled by pro-charter school billionaires like Netflix CEO Reed Hastings and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, which has raised roughly $23 million over the last two months. (Unions have also put in about $5 million supporting Newsom.) In order for Villaraigosa to make it into the top two, he needs strong turnout, especially among Latino voters, election observers say. Villaraigosa and Cox each have their own wild card: big-money support and tweets from the president.
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They’ll also decide on measures about raising regional tolls to pay for transit projects and spending more on parks.īut the top-of-the-ticket race will set the stage for November. In the Bay Area, voters will decide the fate of a high-profile recall of Judge Aaron Persky, who faced national scorn for his relatively lenient sentencing of a college student convicted of sexual assault, along with several other hard-fought races for district attorney and sheriff. Dianne Feinstein will learn her challenger, and voters will set the stage in other statewide elections. There are more than a half-dozen crucial congressional races up and down the state that could make or break Democrats’ dreams of retaking the House. While the governor’s race is the marquee contest on Tuesday, the returns will provide a buffet for political junkies on a scale California election-watchers haven’t seen in years. Sign up for our new Morning Report weekday newsletter.
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Start your day with the news you need from the Bay Area and beyond. It would likely be unpredictable and highly competitive, with supporters on both sides pouring tens or hundreds of millions of dollars into the contest. If Villaraigosa edges Cox for second, it would make history as the state’s first intraparty governor’s election. Newsom would be heavily favored, although Cox would aim to sell himself as a no-nonsense small businessman, and argue that Newsom is too far to the left of the average Californian. If Newsom and Cox advance, as most recent polls have predicted, it will presage a more traditional Democratic versus Republican face-off in November.